GBPUSD fell 0.51% in one hour on 16/09/2026 — what followed
GBPUSD: event 16/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC, down move -0.51%, magnitude 7.2, ATR(24) 0.09%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
7.2M
extremeGBPUSD ▼ Fall
Forex · largest in 162 d · 5.7×ATR
#19 hourly move of GBPUSD in 2 years
-0.51%
hour Wed 16/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC · 1.3382
Elapsed 359 htarget reached in hour 17favourable 3.7 ATR · against 2.0 ATR
Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
No rush: in 73% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (1.3416).
In 73% of similar cases the price pulled up to 1.3416 within the next 12 h, usually within 3 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 4 ATR stop (53% vs 27%).
normal hour 0.09%this movement 0.51%
Levels from statistics · after a down move from 1.3382
Stop1.3430 (+0.36%) 4 ATRhit in 27% of similar cases
Target1.3358 (−0.18%) 2 ATRreached in 53% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.09% ≈ 0.0012. History: 116 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 1.3394 (+0.09%) | 1 ATR | 81% |
| Stop | 1.3406 (+0.18%) | 2 ATR | 65% |
| Stop | 1.3418 (+0.27%) | 3 ATR | 42% |
| Stop | 1.3430 (+0.36%) | 4 ATR | 27% |
| Stop | 1.3454 (+0.54%) | 6 ATR | 6% |
| Target | 1.3358 (−0.18%) | 2 ATR | 53% |
| Target | 1.3346 (−0.27%) | 3 ATR | 39% |
| Target | 1.3334 (−0.36%) | 4 ATR | 28% |
| Target | 1.3310 (−0.54%) | 6 ATR | 13% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.0249 lots, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.0048 (0.36%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- Thu 17/09, 11:00–12:00 UTC · -0.26% · M 2.5 Retraced after 1 h, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.