ETH rose 2.15% in one hour on 11/09/2026 — what followed
ETH: event 11/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC, up move +2.15%, magnitude 4.5, ATR(24) 0.71%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
4.5M
rareETH ▲ Rise
Crypto · largest in 7 d · 3×ATR
#303 hourly move of ETH in 2 years
+2.15%
hour Fri 11/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · 2,511
Elapsed 485 htarget reached in hour 1favourable 8.7 ATR · against 1.2 ATR
Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
No rush: in 61% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (2,484).
In 61% of similar cases the price pulled down to 2,484 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (57% vs 33%).
normal hour 0.71%this movement 2.15%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 2,511
Stop2,458 (−2.12%) 3 ATRhit in 33% of similar cases
Target2,547 (+1.42%) 2 ATRreached in 57% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.71% ≈ 18. History: 176 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 2,493 (−0.71%) | 1 ATR | 72% |
| Stop | 2,476 (−1.42%) | 2 ATR | 51% |
| Stop | 2,458 (−2.12%) | 3 ATR | 33% |
| Stop | 2,440 (−2.83%) | 4 ATR | 20% |
| Stop | 2,405 (−4.25%) | 6 ATR | 5% |
| Target | 2,547 (+1.42%) | 2 ATR | 57% |
| Target | 2,565 (+2.12%) | 3 ATR | 36% |
| Target | 2,582 (+2.83%) | 4 ATR | 26% |
| Target | 2,618 (+4.25%) | 6 ATR | 13% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.225 ETH, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 53 (2.12%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- Mon 21/09, 00:00–01:00 UTC · +1.66% · M 2.7 Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
- Fri 18/09, 13:00–14:00 UTC · +2.09% · M 4.5 Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
- Fri 11/09, 13:00–14:00 UTC · +4.71% · M 5.5 Retraced after 2 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.