Cryptocurrency: review and forecast for March 29 - April 4

{"blocks": [{"id": "8bccv4wi", "data": {"html": "

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "9erm234f", "data": {"html": "

And hello again!

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "cus8ai7g", "data": {"html": "

Traditionally, a few important news items from the world of cryptocurrencies. Today the news is only from the USA, concerning market regulation. Not all traders understand why this news is more important than another network update or the release of a new coin.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "93i26rwn", "data": {"html": "

In early April, the updated text of the bill on the structure of the crypto market in the USA will be published, including updated provisions on yield/rewards in stablecoins.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "58lhiy2r", "data": {"html": "

Why is this important? Because approval of CLARITY has stalled precisely on the legal description of the reward mechanism in stablecoins.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "gqigbon7", "data": {"html": "

Against this backdrop, the Financial Times reports, USDT issuer Tether has chosen KPMG for the first full audit (accounting review) of USDT financial statements and reserves. At the same time, PwC (PricewaterhouseCoopers) will prepare the company's operating framework during the planned expansion in the USA.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "0zyz8wos", "data": {"html": "

These actions are a step toward official expansion in the USA. USDC should get ready.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "o8r93tcu", "data": {"html": "

At the same time, the TRON blockchain officially formalized its custody and staking scheme, i.e. entered the American regulatory zone. Thanks to this, TRON became the first crypto service with a federal license in the USA to move its network into the regulated field.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "i5x0vrvu", "data": {"html": "

And now let's move on to the review of liquidity placement on BTC / ETH / SOL.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "ooouxcjm", "data": {}, "type": "readmore"}, {"id": "aqemhxsb", "data": {"text": "BTC Cryptocurrency", "align": "center", "level": 2}, "type": "heading"}, {"id": "cb05oy4h", "data": {"html": "

The main cryptocurrency, however, like other assets, made another maneuver to collect sellers' stops.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "26eq88sj", "data": {"html": "

Let's recall what I wrote about last week.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "l3ppiigz", "data": {"text": "They may repeat the maneuver of the week before last, when on Monday they sharply reversed selling. But this is extremely unlikely. Or they may continue selling all the way to 65000, and even 63000 would not be something shameful. Next it will be necessary to look at how liquidity is being placed, what is happening in the world, and how the stock market behaves.", "author": ""}, "type": "quote"}, {"id": "myttogg4", "data": {"html": "

Well, this maneuver was repeated, when from Monday the quote was sharply expanded into buy, so that after an aggressive grab of buyers' liquidity and sellers' stops, by the end of the week it would go below the lows of the week before last.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "hilj0qti", "data": {"alt": "cryptocurrency", "url": "/uploads/2026/03/image-103-1100x552.png", "size": "100%", "align": "center", "caption": "", "linkUrl": ""}, "type": "image"}, {"id": "ovgttev8", "data": {"html": "

At the beginning of the week, the bottom was bought back in the 68350-38700 range. It is, of course, possible to also grab liquidity at 67600-67900.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "jx5a4i6k", "data": {"html": "

The main liquidity was gathered in the 70450-71000 range. The zone where buyers ran out, while sellers lacked liquidity, is in the 71350-71950 range. In fact, it is right where buyers ran out last week. This is a clean test of sales and a stop sweep.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "fkdf6fat", "data": {"alt": "cryptocurrency", "url": "/uploads/2026/03/image-102-1100x550.png", "size": "100%", "align": "center", "caption": "", "linkUrl": ""}, "type": "image"}, {"id": "48vk9fmy", "data": {"html": "

A fairly quick return to 68350-68370 without a significant reaction to the level was a very strong signal that sellers are in the market.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "z6m4r6nu", "data": {"html": "

What to expect?

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "9p1s5346", "data": {"html": "

It does not look very much like anyone is actively buying at the current levels. And this is a serious argument against purchases.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "fhdeoumf", "data": {"html": "

On the other hand, bitcoin has merely reached the buyback zone in the 63000-65000 range. In this regard, they may make some move inside the balance (up to 69-70 thousand per coin).

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "vhiuw8h0", "data": {"alt": "cryptocurrency", "url": "/uploads/2026/03/image-104-1100x566.png", "size": "100%", "align": "center", "caption": "", "linkUrl": ""}, "type": "image"}, {"id": "d7onwn9i", "data": {"html": "

But if below 65000, and especially below 63000, there is no sharp growth in counter activity with a strong reaction in the opposite direction, then 55000 can also be expected, and in the case of a panic sell-off, 50000 too, but still with a return to 57000-60000.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "e60hvqwo", "data": {"html": "

In any case, there will be a third strike within the short impulse, and maybe we are standing at the very beginning of the third impulse expansion on the weekly TF.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "ie1kh2ul", "data": {"alt": "cryptocurrency", "url": "/uploads/2026/03/image-105-1100x565.png", "size": "100%", "align": "center", "caption": "", "linkUrl": ""}, "type": "image"}, {"id": "0hyrfuw8", "data": {"html": "

The third expansion (Elliott wave 5) is usually shorter than the others. Within this logic, there is no sense beyond 50000 for now. I do not want to think about another logic.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "sm6wpvhq", "data": {"text": "SOL Cryptocurrency", "align": "center", "level": 2}, "type": "heading"}, {"id": "zfil3jax", "data": {"html": "

The Solana cryptocurrency made a maneuver similar to bitcoin.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "cc8btqrg", "data": {"html": "

At the beginning of the week, players gathered liquidity in the 91-93 range and even touched the point of control (POC) of the previous week, after which they broke downward through all March liquidity.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "zmmhifrg", "data": {"alt": "cryptocurrency", "url": "/uploads/2026/03/image-106-1100x563.png", "size": "100%", "align": "center", "caption": "", "linkUrl": ""}, "type": "image"}, {"id": "28cxsjcz", "data": {"html": "

If we talk about the entire current value area, then consolidation on the daily TF below the 77-79 range opens the road at least to the price bottom, and there we will see.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "1h20qxn8", "data": {"html": "

On the monthly chart, a shooting star candle is probably forming, but we will know this only by Wednesday.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "4xpwt3jm", "data": {"text": "ETH Cryptocurrency", "align": "center", "level": 2}, "type": "heading"}, {"id": "822vtwy6", "data": {"html": "

Before analyzing the situation in the ETH cryptocurrency, let us recall one key point from the previous review.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "u40lapcj", "data": {"html": "

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "wumzy3oc", "data": {"html": "

Why am I reminding you of this? Simply to show why exactly the 2180 level acted as real resistance. Yes, the price was around 2200, but there was no liquidity there, i.e. in fact there were no real buyers.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "2n4ifirv", "data": {"html": "

But that serious buy limit, which was placed on March 19 and instantly absorbed, could well have been closed. And this is a common story in the market.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "9lt4fetu", "data": {"alt": "cryptocurrency", "url": "/uploads/2026/03/image-108-1100x568.png", "size": "100%", "align": "center", "caption": "", "linkUrl": ""}, "type": "image"}, {"id": "moicwqkj", "data": {"html": "

On the daily timeframe, it is clearly visible that sales formed over two weeks in the 2130-2180 range. And until we are above it, it is not worth thinking that buyers have gained strength.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "eubxyh6l", "data": {"html": "

For now we are trying to push through 1935-2000: either from current levels or through 2060-2080. And the attempt may be quite successful. And there we immediately look at 1800 and at the presence or absence of opposing liquidity.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "awlql19w", "data": {"alt": "cryptocurrency", "url": "/uploads/2026/03/image-109-1100x572.png", "size": "100%", "align": "center", "caption": "", "linkUrl": ""}, "type": "image"}, {"id": "15m7o0vf", "data": {"text": "Conclusion", "align": "center", "level": 2}, "type": "heading"}, {"id": "vp11eidb", "data": {"html": "

There is a strong impression that cryptocurrencies are preparing to make a serious move south. A stop and return to balance is still likely, but even in this case some continuation of the southern dynamics is a major priority.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}], "version": 1}