Before the signal
The impulse and channel use confirmed extrema of closed candles.
Study the impulse, channel and confirmed breakout of bull and bear flags, then explore the historical observations currently available.
Bull flag
A sharp rise is followed by a narrow channel that slopes against it. The figure completes when price closes above the upper channel boundary.
The figure completes on a close above the upper channel boundary.
An upward impulse of at least 3 ATR(14) within 20 candles is followed by a 4–20 candle channel with falling highs and lows whose range is no more than 60% of the impulse.
The impulse and channel use confirmed extrema of closed candles.
Select the chart where the formation is already complete.
A dotted candle is still forming; a solid candle is closed. Only one chart contains a completed signal.
The exercise checks recognition. Historical outcomes are calculated separately and do not promise a price move.The impulse and channel use confirmed extrema of closed candles.
An upward impulse of at least 3 ATR(14) within 20 candles is followed by a 4–20 candle channel with falling highs and lows whose range is no more than 60% of the impulse.
The figure completes on a close above the upper channel boundary.
A pennant converges; a flag uses a compact sloping channel. The shape identifies an event to research. It does not predict the next move or provide a trading signal by itself.
One formation does not establish the probability of a move. The historical comparison measures outcomes against a comparable background for each configuration.
An upward impulse of at least 3 ATR(14) within 20 candles is followed by a 4–20 candle channel with falling highs and lows whose range is no more than 60% of the impulse.
Required context: The impulse and channel use confirmed extrema of closed candles.
Completion: The figure completes on a close above the upper channel boundary.
Definition version 1.0 · canonical definition.
Stored publication UTC · pattern-data-v21 · methodology research-v21-session-calendar-signed-bh-plan-v1.
Latest stored candle date in the curated family table: Nov 9, 2026 UTC.
The curated family table covers 22 core and 16 additional extended configurations. These are configuration counts; the own-result registry is separate. The study compares movement after a completed signal with a matched background at the same horizon.
Go to interactive research ↓Select the exact market conditions. Statistics, examples and threshold evidence appear only when the same definition and complete configuration have a published row.
Research methodologyReset returns to forex, all researched instruments, H1, five candles, no higher-timeframe condition and the first teaching variant. The market scope and short address stay the same.
Previously selected statistics are hidden until the shared publication responds.
These related TLAP materials for “Bull flag” are in Russian. Their examples do not replace the historical calculation above.