Forex Market Analytics for 11.03.2026
Hello. Below will be several recommendations for trading in the Forex market for 11.03.2026
XAUUSD
On the XAUUSD pair, we entered the FVG 5205.81 left from last week. I still hold the view that we should expect the price to fail downward here and I am sticking with sells. The imbalance of buyers in the trade statistics also contributes to this. And within the intraday FVG, I will try to look for Price Action sell signals. The nearest target for sells is the interesting lows at 4995.86. And then the targets are the nearest lows at 4840.78 and 4655.00.
Fundamental Market Overview for March 11
The markets believed Donald Trump's words about the war ending soon. Asian indices rose, also thanks to other positive news:
- Saudi Aramco's fourth-quarter profit beating forecasts
- China's export growth and trade surplus reaching record levels
The decline in oil lifted shares of European airlines, and together with gains in energy and defense, pushed stock indices into the green zone.
However, uncertainty about the specific timing of the end of the American operation and threats from the U.S. Department of War to intensify strikes on Iran twentyfold led to a decline in Wall Street indices.
Meanwhile, oil spent the session moving sideways. Gold renewed its weekly highs, showing a clear upward trend.
Asia-Pacific
- KOSPI Index (South Korea): +5% at the open (rebound)
- Nikkei 225 (Japan): +1.66%
- Topix (Japan): +1.30%
- Hang Seng Index (Hong Kong): +1.56%
- CSI 300 (China): +0.90%
United States
- S&P 500 (USA): 6 781,48 (−0,21%)
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (USA): 47 706,51 (−0,07%)
- Nasdaq Composite (USA): 22 697,10 (+0,01%)
Evening statistics:
- 15-30 - U.S. inflation
- 21-00 - U.S. federal budget execution report
Europe
- Stoxx 600 (Europe): +1,80%
- DAX (Germany): −6,70% (weekly war result)
- CAC 40 (France): −6,84% (weekly war result)
- FTSE 100 (United Kingdom): −5,74% (weekly war result)
In the first half of the day, the following news will be released
- 10-00 - German inflation
- 13-00 - OPEC monthly report
Cryptocurrency News
Bitcoin showed unexpected resilience against the backdrop of geopolitical tensions. When stock markets moved into the red zone, BTC managed to post a modest gain.
However, Bitcoin was unable to leave the $66 000–$72 000 flat range. The RSI index on the daily timeframe was approaching the oversold zone, which indicates a possible technical pullback in the near future.
Main topics of the day:
- MicroStrategy (MSTR), on March 9, acquired about 1420 BTC using funds received from the sale of its perpetual preferred shares (STRC)
- The Winklevoss brothers, co-founders of the Gemini crypto exchange, are preparing to sell bitcoins worth about $130 million
Respectfully, Artem aka TeaDrinker
On the XAUUSD pair, we entered the 5205.81 FVG left from last week. I still hold the view that we should expect the price to fail downward here and I am stickin