Cryptocurrency: review and forecast for March 15-21

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Hello again!

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Cryptocurrency did not react in any way all week to developments in the Middle East. Although oil rose all week after the correction, or more precisely, after trading out the imbalance, and stock indices struggled but declined.

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Against the backdrop of what is happening in the world, crypto folks have completely lost their fear. CoinMarketCap's Fear and Greed Index is at 29 (Saturday, March 14). Of course, purely mathematically this is still "fearful," but psychologically it is incredible optimism.

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The optimism, of course, was also influenced by various news. Especially worth noting is the signing of a memorandum between the SEC and CFTC on coordinating oversight of financial markets, including cryptocurrency. According to representatives of these organizations, the working approach will be as follows: "minimum effective dose". This should preserve market integrity without hindering innovation.

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Meanwhile, the A7A5 stablecoin (crypto ruble) entered the top 3 largest tokens by transaction volume on the TRON network.

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And now let's move on to the review of the main cryptocurrencies: BTC, ETH, SOL.

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By tradition, I will start with self-quotation.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "qd2rkenb", "data": {"text": "If by Wednesday players are calmly working above 69000 and trying to move above resistance in the 72400-73500 range, then this will be a signal that the array is being held and that players want to continue the northward expansion a little, up to 77 thousand.", "author": ""}, "type": "quote"}, {"id": "imkq6crl", "data": {"html": "

By Tuesday, crypto folks had already started working in the 69600-70900 range. After three days of liquidity accumulation, they made a second expansion within the next ascending A-B-C wave.

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No one wanted to push the main cryptocurrency above the 72400-73500 range. In fact, at the moment volumes are passing through the 70500-71700 range, which was previously identified as VAH (the upper boundary of the balance).

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What plans can be made?

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As noted earlier, buyers must begin working above 72400-73500, or at least within this range, so that we can talk about a continuation of the upward dynamics. The watershed is somewhere slightly above 72 thousand.

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But the model of volume accumulation within the balance hints that it is still possible from +/- current prices (70700 at the time of writing the review), i.e. from the 70550-71700 range, to reverse toward 65-68 thousand per bitcoin. The watershed is somewhere around 69 thousand.

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Let's run through the hourly chart from Monday (right at the start of the impulse and the week).

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Clear resistance around 73000-73900. Impulsive pushing in the 71300-71600 range, and it is below us, i.e. within ordinary logic the impulse is broken.

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The week's core is in the 69600-70800 range, the point of control is at 74000, and VWAP is at 70300. That is, while the quote is above VWAP / POC, it seems one can think there will be growth, but...

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "0yzn400w", "data": {"items": ["Liquidity for pushing above us (71300-71600).", "On the reversal from the highs, the highest turnover of the week.", "Demand at the lows is not growing."], "style": "ordered"}, "type": "list"}, {"id": "dyma20qv", "data": {"alt": "cryptocurrency", "url": "/uploads/2026/03/image-51-1100x572.png", "size": "100%", "align": "center", "caption": "", "linkUrl": ""}, "type": "image"}, {"id": "ffmvler3", "data": {"html": "

Conclusion: consolidation above 71300-71600 may open the road upward, while consolidation below 68800-69400 may well open the way lower.

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South for now seems more likely.

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The Solana cryptocurrency continues to stand in a sideways range. Nothing has changed here since last week. Even the levels have effectively not shifted one bit. A quote from the review two weeks ago:

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "61o75s26", "data": {"text": "Support remains exactly where it was, in the 77-79 range, and resistance is in the 91-93 range. Let me remind you that global resistance is formed in the 98-106 range, which still looks impregnable.", "author": ""}, "type": "quote"}, {"id": "3hr0rrof", "data": {"alt": "cryptocurrency", "url": "/uploads/2026/03/image-52-1100x573.png", "size": "100%", "align": "center", "caption": "", "linkUrl": ""}, "type": "image"}, {"id": "pbli7nl3", "data": {"html": "

During the week, we went from the lower boundary to the upper one. And that's it. If this is a balance, then we will go to the lower one again. And there we need to watch the behavior.

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And a short excerpt from the previous review, devoted to the lower timeframe.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "zxqf5roc", "data": {"text": "If we look at the lower TF, then here the southern drive seems stronger than on BTC. If so, then within this current southern dynamic, we should not go above the 84-85.3 range.", "author": ""}, "type": "quote"}, {"id": "dyro0q40", "data": {"html": "

We traded through the potential resistance at 84-85.3, thereby canceling sales for the week.

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It is worth noting that this cryptocurrency shows volume growth on sharp strikes to the north. Either they are taking liquidity from short sellers and driving in buyers, or something else.

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If we look at the hourly timeframe for the whole week, the scheme is generally similar to that on Bitcoin. We returned to the week's core, 85.3-87.1. For now we are holding in the potential buy zone, but we need to move above 89 to think about buys. Or look for sales after a reversal from 88.5-89, if that happens.

"}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"id": "dgiqcnxq", "data": {"text": "ETH Cryptocurrency", "align": "center", "level": 2}, "type": "heading"}, {"id": "ltn8ncyj", "data": {"html": "

The last instrument in the weekly review. As always, an extremely volatile story, where every day money is taken from those who cannot calculate risks, but think they know how to trade big moves with high leverage.

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At the same time, from the buyer's point of view, the setup here looks the strongest. Its strength is that players are holding the quote more and more confidently near the VWAP of the short impulse that began on January 28. Usually this is how a buyer works. Usually does not mean always.

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The signal for a transition to a northward strike toward 2300-2325 will be a confident consolidation above 2150 with volumes building over one to one and a half days.

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And what about sales? Below 2000 one can think about them, but they may also stop there. Given the volatility, even a correct speculative entry from the model's point of view may lead to stops being taken out.

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Cryptocurrencies continue to remain in balance near the upper boundaries. If we look at the balance, we can search for reversal points toward the lower boundaries. But there is some probability, especially on ETH, of another northward strike.

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