NDX: volatility and unusual movements

Nasdaq 100: last closed candle 23/09, 11:00 MSK, price 30,718, hourly change -0.06%, no notable events over 24 h. Last event: 16/09, 21:00 MSK, down move -0.81%, M 3.7.

How to read a card. Magnitude measures movement rarity. The entry plan explains whether to chase it. Stops and targets show price levels and historical probabilities. These are statistics of past movements, not a trade recommendation. The decision and the risk are yours.

M: <3 noticeable · 3–5 rare · 5–7 very rare · ≥7 extreme

Now 1 notable moves over 24 h

🔥 Where it is hot magnitude over 24 h · pick an instrument

calm3–5 rare5–7 very rare≥7 extreme

Nasdaq 100: no notable moves in 72 h
last hour -0.06% · pick another instrument

Last 30 days 3 completed events with M ≥ 3

Midpoint retracement

67%

within 24 h

Stop survived

67%

recommended level

Target reached

67%

recommended level

Broad movements

67%

several instruments in one hour

Time	Instrument	Movement	M	Recommendation	Outcome	Retracement	Stop	Target	Max. favourable / adverse	+24 h
16/09, 21:00 MSK	Nasdaq 100	▼ -0.81%	3.7	after a down move · stop 4 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 3 h, stop hit, target reached.	✓	✗	✓	2.8 / 9.0 ATR	-2.19×
09/09, 12:00 MSK	Nasdaq 100	▼ -0.56%	4.3	after a down move · stop 4 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 4 h, stop survived, target not reached.	✓	✓	✗	0.8 / 2.3 ATR	+0.15×
01/09, 11:00 MSK	Nasdaq 100	▼ -0.68%	3.9	after a down move · stop 4 ATR · target 2 ATR	No midpoint retracement, stop survived, target reached.	✗	✓	✓	4.0 / 1.1 ATR	+1.30×

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Magnitude of the week

DOGE · M 5.2

+3.04% in one hour · 22/09/2026 06:00 MSK

Magnitude of the month

DOGE · M 7.8

+7.04% in one hour · 05/09/2026 20:00 MSK

Magnitude of the year

USDJPY · M 8.4

-1.97% in one hour · 30/07/2026 16:00 MSK

Hottest hour of the week

21/09/2026 11:00 MSK

sum of M 16.8 · SOL 4.7, DOGE 4.7, BTC 3.7 · 21/09/2026 11:00 MSK

Current calm

PAXG · 159 h

without a notable move · #15 longest this year · 23/09/2026 13:30 MSK

Calmest day of the year

Fri, 12/06/2026

average bar magnitude 1.02 · Fri, 12/06/2026

Player predictions the “Will it retrace?” game · the table lists players with 10+ resolved predictions

Magnitude measures hourly movement rarity: 2·log₁₀(hours since the last movement at least as large). 3 means once a day, 5 once every two weeks, 7 once a year. Stops and targets use ATR(24); outcomes are verified against prior events of the same instrument and direction without lookahead. Live candles come from the unified TLAP PostgreSQL service. This screener does not recommend a trade direction and is not investment advice.

Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.