Market Magnitude

last candle 12:00 MSK

PAXG: event 16/09, 21:00 MSK, down move -2.07%, magnitude 7.2, ATR(24) 0.41%.

How to read a card. Magnitude measures movement rarity. The entry plan explains whether to chase it. Stops and targets show price levels and historical probabilities. These are statistics of past movements, not a trade recommendation. The decision and the risk are yours.
M: <3 noticeable · 3–5 rare · 5–7 very rare · ≥7 extreme

Now 1 notable moves over 24 h

🔥 Where it is hot magnitude over 24 h · pick an instrument

calm3–5 rare5–7 very rare≥7 extreme
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
7.2M
extreme
PAXG ▼ Fall
Gold · largest in 162 d · 5×ATR
#10 hourly move of PAXG in 2 years
-2.07%
in one hour · Wed 16/09, 21:00 MSK · 4,273
stopmidpointtargetentry
Elapsed 24 htarget reachedfavourable 2.4 ATR · against 6.0 ATR

Retraced after 7 h, stop hit, target reached.

No rush: in 78% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (4,317).

In 78% similar cases retraced within the next 12 h up to 4,317, usually after 1 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target and stop were reached equally often (45% / 50%).

normal hour 0.41%this movement 2.07%
Levels from statistics · after a down move from 4,273
Stop4,326 (+1.24%) 3 ATRhit in 32% of similar cases
No reliable target4,238 (−0.82%) 2 ATRthe nearest target was reached in only 45% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.41% ≈ 17.61. History: 283 similar movements, without lookahead.
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.225 PAXG, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 52.84 (1.24%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Other stops and targets
LevelPrice and %RangeProbability
Stop4,291 (+0.41%)1 ATR73%
Stop4,308 (+0.82%)2 ATR50%
Stop4,326 (+1.24%)3 ATR32%
Stop4,343 (+1.65%)4 ATR20%
Stop4,379 (+2.47%)6 ATR7%
Target4,238 (−0.82%)2 ATR45%
Target4,220 (−1.24%)3 ATR34%
Target4,203 (−1.65%)4 ATR25%
Target4,167 (−2.47%)6 ATR14%
Statistics, not advice. Your risk.

Last 30 days 1 completed events with M ≥ 3

Midpoint retracement
100%
within 24 h
Stop survived
0%
recommended level
Target reached
100%
recommended level
Broad movements
100%
several instruments in one hour
TimeInstrumentMovementMRecommendationOutcomeRetracementStopTargetMax. favourable / adverse+24 h
16/09, 21:00 MSKPAXG▼ -2.07%7.2after a down move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATRRetraced after 7 h, stop hit, target reached.2.4 / 6.0 ATR-0.88×

Records largest moves · “Share” opens an image

All records →
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Hottest hour of the week
21/09/2026 11:00 MSK
sum of M 16.8 · SOL 4.7, DOGE 4.7, BTC 3.7 · 21/09/2026 11:00 MSK
Current calm
PAXG · 159 h
without a notable move · #15 longest this year · 23/09/2026 13:30 MSK
Calmest day of the year
Fri, 12/06/2026
average bar magnitude 1.02 · Fri, 12/06/2026

Player predictions the “Will it retrace?” game · the table lists players with 10+ resolved predictions

Magnitude measures hourly movement rarity: 2·log₁₀(hours since the last movement at least as large). 3 means once a day, 5 once every two weeks, 7 once a year. Stops and targets use ATR(24); outcomes are verified against prior events of the same instrument and direction without lookahead. Live candles come from the unified TLAP PostgreSQL service. This screener does not recommend a trade direction and is not investment advice.

Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.