Verified rare hourly movements from closed TLAP candles.
How to read a card. Magnitude measures movement rarity. The entry plan explains whether to chase it. Stops and targets show price levels and historical probabilities. These are statistics of past movements, not a trade recommendation. The decision and the risk are yours.
M: <3 noticeable · 3–5 rare · 5–7 very rare · ≥7 extreme
Now 1 notable moves over 24 h
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calm3–5 rare5–7 very rare≥7 extreme
Strongest move over 24 h
4.4M
rareXRP ▲ Rise
Crypto · largest in 7 d · 1.8×ATR
#243 hourly move of XRP in 2 years
+2.96%
in one hour · Tue 22/09, 16:00 MSK · 1.5885
Elapsed 20 hretraced to the midpoint after 1 h — entry as plannedfavourable 2.7 ATR · against 2.1 ATR
No rush: in 66% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (1.5650).
In 66% similar cases retraced within the next 12 h down to 1.5650, usually after 1 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the stop (62% against 42%).
normal hour 1.64%this movement 2.96%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 1.5885
Stop1.5103 (−4.93%) 3 ATRhit in 25% of similar cases
Target1.6667 (+4.93%) 3 ATRreached in 52% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 1.64% ≈ 0.0261. History: 172 similar movements, without lookahead.
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 152 XRP, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.0782 (4.93%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 1.5624 (−1.64%) | 1 ATR | 69% |
| Stop | 1.5363 (−3.28%) | 2 ATR | 42% |
| Stop | 1.5103 (−4.93%) | 3 ATR | 25% |
| Stop | 1.4842 (−6.57%) | 4 ATR | 14% |
| Stop | 1.4320 (−9.85%) | 6 ATR | 4% |
| Target | 1.6407 (+3.28%) | 2 ATR | 62% |
| Target | 1.6667 (+4.93%) | 3 ATR | 52% |
| Target | 1.6928 (+6.57%) | 4 ATR | 39% |
| Target | 1.7450 (+9.85%) | 6 ATR | 26% |
Statistics, not advice. Your risk.
Largest over 24 h: XRP M 4.4
Last 30 days 79 completed events with M ≥ 3
Midpoint retracement
67%
within 24 h
Stop survived
63%
recommended level
Target reached
52%
recommended level
Broad movements
80%
several instruments in one hour
| Time | Instrument | Movement | M | Recommendation | Outcome | Retracement | Stop | Target | Max. favourable / adverse | +24 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09, 11:00 MSK | USDJPY | ▼ -0.36% | 3.9 | after a down move · stop 4 ATR · target 2 ATR | Retraced after 7 h, stop hit, target reached. | ✓ | ✗ | ✓ | 2.1 / 4.2 ATR | -1.25× |
| 22/09, 06:00 MSK | DOGE | ▲ +3.04% | 5.2 | after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | Retraced after 1 h, stop survived, target not reached. | ✓ | ✓ | ✗ | 1.6 / 2.0 ATR | +0.65× |
| 21/09, 11:00 MSK | 4 instruments broad movement, M up to 4.7 | ▲ +2.50% | 3.7 | after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | No midpoint retracement, stop survived, target reached. | ✗ | ✓ | ✓ | 7.3 / 0.1 ATR | +1.18× |
| 21/09, 10:00 MSK | Gold | ▼ -1.06% | 4.1 | after a down move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | Retraced after 4 h, stop survived, target reached. | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 2.8 / 1.6 ATR | +0.31× |
| 20/09, 05:00 MSK | 4 instruments broad movement, M up to 3.2 | ▼ -1.74% | 3.2 | after a down move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | Retraced after 13 h, stop hit, target not reached. | ✓ | ✗ | ✗ | 0.6 / 8.6 ATR | -1.95× |
| 18/09, 17:00 MSK | XRP | ▲ +2.87% | 3.7 | after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 3 ATR | Retraced after 1 h, stop survived, target reached. | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 3.7 / 2.0 ATR | +0.94× |
| 18/09, 16:00 MSK | 4 instruments broad movement, M up to 5.7 | ▲ +2.60% | 5.7 | after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | No midpoint retracement, stop survived, target reached. | ✗ | ✓ | ✓ | 3.7 / 0.0 ATR | +0.62× |
| 18/09, 10:00 MSK | 2 instruments broad movement, M up to 6.1 | ▲ +0.40% | 3.2 | after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | Retraced after 7 h, stop hit, target not reached. | ✓ | ✗ | ✗ | 1.9 / 3.0 ATR | -0.34× |
| 18/09, 05:00 MSK | USDJPY | ▲ +0.27% | 3.0 | after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | No midpoint retracement, stop survived, target reached. | ✗ | ✓ | ✓ | 6.0 / 0.6 ATR | +0.59× |
| 16/09, 21:00 MSK | 7 instruments broad movement, M up to 7.3 | ▼ -2.07% | 7.2 | after a down move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | Retraced after 7 h, stop hit, target reached. | ✓ | ✗ | ✓ | 2.4 / 6.0 ATR | -0.88× |
| 16/09, 05:00 MSK | 2 instruments broad movement, M up to 4.1 | ▲ +0.95% | 4.1 | after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | Retraced after 16 h, stop hit, target reached. | ✓ | ✗ | ✓ | 3.4 / 7.1 ATR | -1.11× |
| 15/09, 21:00 MSK | 3 instruments broad movement, M up to 5.5 | ▼ -1.25% | 4.0 | after a down move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | Retraced after 24 h, stop survived, target not reached. | ✓ | ✓ | ✗ | 1.8 / 1.1 ATR | +0.39× |
| 14/09, 21:00 MSK | XRP | ▲ +2.97% | 3.8 | after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 3 ATR | Retraced after 1 h, stop hit, target not reached. | ✓ | ✗ | ✗ | 1.1 / 11.3 ATR | -3.46× |
| 11/09, 16:00 MSK | 4 instruments broad movement, M up to 5.5 | ▲ +4.71% | 5.5 | after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | Retraced after 2 h, stop hit, target not reached. | ✓ | ✗ | ✗ | 1.5 / 5.1 ATR | -0.69× |
| 11/09, 15:00 MSK | 5 instruments broad movement, M up to 4.5 | ▲ +1.29% | 4.5 | after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | Retraced after 1 h, stop survived, target reached. | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 4.6 / 2.9 ATR | -0.69× |
| 10/09, 23:00 MSK | Gold | ▼ -1.11% | 3.3 | after a down move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | Retraced after 8 h, stop hit, target not reached. | ✓ | ✗ | ✗ | 1.2 / 4.1 ATR | -0.43× |
| 10/09, 15:00 MSK | 2 instruments broad movement, M up to 4.3 | ▼ -1.92% | 4.3 | after a down move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | Retraced after 2 h, stop hit, target not reached. | ✓ | ✗ | ✗ | 0.5 / 5.9 ATR | -2.08× |
| 09/09, 12:00 MSK | Nasdaq 100 | ▼ -0.56% | 4.3 | after a down move · stop 4 ATR · target 2 ATR | Retraced after 4 h, stop survived, target not reached. | ✓ | ✓ | ✗ | 0.8 / 2.3 ATR | +0.15× |
| 09/09, 07:00 MSK | XRP | ▲ +1.38% | 4.1 | after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 3 ATR | Retraced after 1 h, stop hit, target not reached. | ✓ | ✗ | ✗ | 0.7 / 4.4 ATR | -2.41× |
| 09/09, 03:00 MSK | Gold | ▲ +1.36% | 4.1 | after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | No midpoint retracement, stop survived, target reached. | ✗ | ✓ | ✓ | 3.5 / 0.6 ATR | +0.77× |
| 08/09, 21:00 MSK | USDJPY | ▼ -0.41% | 3.1 | after a down move · stop 4 ATR · target 2 ATR | Retraced after 1 h, stop survived, target not reached. | ✓ | ✓ | ✗ | 2.0 / 1.3 ATR | 0.00× |
| 07/09, 11:00 MSK | USDJPY | ▼ -0.70% | 5.9 | after a down move · stop 4 ATR · target 2 ATR | No midpoint retracement, stop survived, target reached. | ✗ | ✓ | ✓ | 4.5 / 1.0 ATR | +0.27× |
| 05/09, 20:00 MSK | DOGE | ▲ +7.04% | 7.8 | after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | Retraced after 2 h, stop hit, target not reached. | ✓ | ✗ | ✗ | 0.6 / 6.8 ATR | -0.76× |
| 04/09, 15:00 MSK | 5 instruments broad movement, M up to 5.2 | ▼ -2.18% | 5.1 | after a down move · stop 4 ATR · target 2 ATR | No midpoint retracement, stop survived, target not reached. | ✗ | ✓ | ✗ | 1.3 / 0.7 ATR | -0.14× |
| 03/09, 17:00 MSK | 4 instruments broad movement, M up to 5.0 | ▲ +2.17% | 5.0 | after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | Retraced after 22 h, stop hit, target reached. | ✓ | ✗ | ✓ | 3.5 / 3.8 ATR | -0.93× |
| 02/09, 16:00 MSK | 2 instruments broad movement, M up to 5.7 | ▲ +1.12% | 4.2 | after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | No midpoint retracement, stop survived, target reached. | ✗ | ✓ | ✓ | 5.5 / 1.0 ATR | +1.65× |
| 02/09, 03:00 MSK | WTI | ▲ +1.41% | 3.4 | after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | Retraced after 1 h, stop hit, target not reached. | ✓ | ✗ | ✗ | 0.3 / 4.4 ATR | -0.53× |
| 01/09, 11:00 MSK | 4 instruments broad movement, M up to 3.9 | ▼ -1.02% | 3.9 | after a down move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | No midpoint retracement, stop survived, target reached. | ✗ | ✓ | ✓ | 5.8 / 1.1 ATR | +1.17× |
| 31/08, 02:00 MSK | 4 instruments broad movement, M up to 4.6 | ▼ -2.18% | 4.6 | after a down move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | Retraced after 7 h, stop hit, target not reached. | ✓ | ✗ | ✗ | 0.9 / 4.2 ATR | -0.96× |
| 28/08, 18:00 MSK | PAXG | ▼ -1.14% | 4.7 | after a down move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | No midpoint retracement, stop survived, target reached. | ✗ | ✓ | ✓ | 3.8 / 0.1 ATR | +1.13× |
| 27/08, 11:00 MSK | 2 instruments broad movement, M up to 3.5 | ▲ +2.81% | 3.5 | after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | Retraced after 2 h, stop survived, target reached. | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 3.9 / 1.0 ATR | +0.47× |
| 27/08, 02:00 MSK | SOL | ▲ +2.38% | 3.4 | after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | Retraced after 1 h, stop survived, target reached. | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 7.0 / 1.3 ATR | +2.91× |
| 25/08, 23:00 MSK | 2 instruments broad movement, M up to 3.7 | ▼ -1.91% | 3.3 | after a down move · stop 4 ATR · target 2 ATR | No midpoint retracement, stop survived, target reached. | ✗ | ✓ | ✓ | 4.2 / 0.5 ATR | +2.34× |
| 25/08, 03:00 MSK | SOL | ▲ +2.83% | 3.7 | after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | Retraced after 1 h, stop hit, target not reached. | ✓ | ✗ | ✗ | 0.8 / 4.0 ATR | -1.77× |
| 24/08, 16:00 MSK | DOGE | ▼ -2.52% | 3.2 | after a down move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | Retraced after 1 h, stop survived, target reached. | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 2.5 / 1.4 ATR | +1.14× |
| 24/08, 14:00 MSK | BTC | ▲ +1.06% | 3.5 | after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | Retraced after 1 h, stop survived, target reached. | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 5.3 / 1.1 ATR | +0.81× |
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Magnitude measures hourly movement rarity: 2·log₁₀(hours since the last movement at least as large). 3 means once a day, 5 once every two weeks, 7 once a year. Stops and targets use ATR(24); outcomes are verified against prior events of the same instrument and direction without lookahead. Live candles come from the unified TLAP PostgreSQL service. This screener does not recommend a trade direction and is not investment advice.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.